Domestic public opinion and international crisis escalation: the shadow of networked nationalism in China by Andrew Chubb (British Academy)
Date & Time
24 February 2021 10:00-12:00 CET
Trainee Centre Online (Closed Event)
In the internet era, diplomatic crises are likely to be handled by governments acting under some level of scrutiny of domestic audiences. Authoritarian states such as the PRC have significant capabilities for attenuating public attention and shaping citizens’ interpretations of the situation. but there are still a range of high-stakes scenarios — such as a serious US-China naval clash in disputed waters, or a Taiwanese independence declaration — in which public pressure could make an authoritarian state more likely to escalate a crisis. The workshop opens up a discussion of some hypotheses on the impact of nationalism in international crises, and outlines a “simulation-survey experiment” method designed for investigating these issues.
Andrew Chubb is a British Academy Postdoctoral Fellow, undertaking a three-year investigation of the role of domestic public opinion in international crisis diplomacy in the Asia-Pacific. A graduate of the University of Western Australia, his work examines the linkages between Chinese domestic politics and international relations. More broadly, Andrew’s interests include maritime and territorial disputes, strategic communication, political propaganda, and Chinese Communist Party history.